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To the surprise of no one, Seattle ties all-time record dry-streak Monday

A sunny day in Seattle for the 51st day in a row. (KOMO Photo)

SEATTLE -- For the 51st time in a row, it's a dry day at Sea-Tac Airport.

We've been trumpeting the potential to break the record for weeks, and on Monday, we finally reached a tie. The previous record of 51 days was set between July 7 and August 26 in 1951.

Not that the record had to survive some harrowing moments. There were two days in July where a marine layer drizzle and a weak Puget Sound Convergence Zone brought some measurable rain to the Puget Sound region - just not at the airport where it counts.

It's a stark contrast to the weather pattern earlier this year when we barely had any dry days at all. In fact, if you pick the 51 day period between February 23 and April 14, Seattle had a whopping 45 days with measurable rain!

Seattle managed to set several rainfall records from October 1 through pick-your-month. It was so persistently rainy, the National Weather Service in Seattle resorted to poetry to try to break the soggy curse. Too effective?

Of course, it's only a matter of hours before the record is officially broken Tuesday night when we notch our 52nd day. The only question now is, what will the new record be?

It's seems 55 days is a slam dunk as there is essentially a zero percent chance of rain through Friday. Saturday is an excellent bet to make it 56. Joe DiMaggio would be so proud!

However! Some forecast models are hinting of a dying front staggering toward the coast Saturday night into Sunday. Will it hold enough together to finally bring some rain to Seattle? The models are not completely sold on the idea, but some models are up to 20-30 percent chances of rain by either Sunday or Monday. If we make it through that little weather system dry -- well, October has to arrive at some point, right?

If we can't have rain, can we at least have blue skies again?

In the interim as we count up the new dry streak record, the smoke is here to stay for a bit. Upper level winds are pretty stagnant and what we are getting is coming from the wrong (i.e. smoky) direction.

It's not really until Friday or Saturday that we begin to rev up our marine breezes to really scour out the smoke. Up through now, we've just had minor improvements in air quality as we've had little puffs of ocean breezes. Those breezes are now done for much of the week.

Thus the Air Quality Advisory has been extended around Western Washington into Thursday. Whether or not that incoming front has enough oompf to bring rain, its approach and subsequent passage should at least finally clear the air.

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